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CSE6250: Big Data Analytics in Healthcare Homework 1 Solution
Preparing the data, computing basic statistics and constructing simple models are essential steps for various data analysis work. In this homework, you will use clinical data as raw input to perform Mortality Prediction. For this homework, Python programming will be required. See the attached skeleton code as a start-point for the programming questions. Also, you need to make a single PDF file (homework1 answer.pdf ) of a compiled document for non-programming questions.
It is your responsibility to make sure that all code and other deliverables are in the correct format and that your submission compiles and runs. We will not manually check your code.
Thus non-runnable code will directly lead to 0 score.
1 CITI Certification [10 points]
Georgia Tech policy requires that all personnel involved with human subjects research must pass a training course before doing so. This requirement encompasses all types of interactions with human subjects, including the analysis of data.
Follow the steps below to complete the CITI certification and attach your two certifications.
1. Go to https://www.citiprogram.org/
2. Login via Single Sign On (SSO), which will allow to login using your Georgia Tech username and password
3. Select Georgia Institute of Technology as the authentication provider
4. Once logged in, under Georgia Institute of Technology courses, click on “Add Course or Update Learner Groups”
5. Now you will have three main courses to select. You will check the box for “Human
Subjects Research”
6. Click next, then you will select the radio button “NO, I have NOT completed the basic course”
7. Now, you will see three learner groups. You are required to complete Group 1 and Group 2. Let us start with Group 1 (select Group 1) and click next
8. Good Clinical Practice is not required so select “N/A”, then click next
9. Health Information Privacy and Security (HIPS) is required, click ”CITI Health Information Privacy and Security (HIPS) for Biomedical Research Investigators”
10. Now under Georgia Tech courses you will have “Group 1 Biomedical research Investigators and Key Personnel” listed as incomplete. You will have to go through every tutorial in that course and complete a quiz for each.
11. Once you have completed and passed Group 1, repeat the steps above to complete Group 2 (Social / Behavioral Research Investigators and Key Personnel)
Solution. Sample certification displayed in Figure 1.
About Raw Data
Navigate to homework1/data/train. There are three CSV files which will be the input data in this assignment.
The data provided in events.csv are event sequences. Each line of this file consists of a tuple with the format (patient id, event id, event description, timestamp, value). For example,
1053,DIAG319049,Acute respiratory failure,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DIAG197320,Acute renal failure syndrome,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DRUG19122121,Insulin,2924-10-08,1.0
COLLABORATIVE INSTITUTIONAL TRAINING INITIATIVE (CITI)
HUMAN RESEARCH CURRICULUM COMPLETION REPORT
Printed on 08/22/2014
LEARNER Hang Su (ID: 4270797)
EMAIL hsu34@gatech.edu
INSTITUTION Georgia Institute of Technology EXPIRATION DATE 08/21/2017
GROUP 1 BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH INVESTIGATORS AND KEY PERSONNEL
COURSE/STAGE: Basic Course/1
PASSED ON: 08/22/2014
REFERENCE ID: 13704349
COLLABORATIVE INSTITUTIONAL TRAINING INITIATIVE (CITI)
HUMAN RESEARCH CURRICULUM COMPLETION REPORT
Printed on 08/22/2014
Hang Su (ID: 4270797) hsu34@gatech.edu
LEARNER
EMAIL
INSTITUTION Georgia Institute of Technology EXPIRATION DATE 08/21/2017
GROUP 2 SOCIAL / BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH INVESTIGATORS AND KEY PERSONNEL
COURSE/STAGE: Basic Course/1
PASSED ON: 08/22/2014
REFERENCE ID: 13766823
(a) Group 1 (b) Group 2
Figure 1: Sample CITI Certification
1053,DRUG19122121,Insulin,2924-10-11,1.0
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-08,3.000
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-08,3.690
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-09,3.240
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-10,3.470
• patient id: Identifies the patients in order to differentiate them from others. For example, the patient in the example above has patient id 1053.
• event id: Encodes all the clinical events that a patient has had. For example, DRUG19122121 means that a drug with RxNorm code as 19122121 was prescribed to the patient. DIAG319049 means the patient was diagnosed of disease with SNOMED code of 319049 and LAB3026361 means that the laboratory test with a LOINC code of 3026361 was performed on the patient.
• event description: Shows the description of the event. For example, DIAG319049 is the code for Acute respiratory failure and DRUG19122121 is the code for Insulin.
• timestamp: Indicates the date at which the event happened. Here the timestamp is not a real date but a shifted date for protecting privacy of patients.
• value: Contains the value associated to an event. See Table 1 for the detailed description.
event type
sample event id
value meaning
example
diagnostic code
DIAG319049
diagnosed with a certain disease, value always be 1.0
1.0
drug consumption
DRUG19122121
prescribed a certain medication, value will always be 1.0
1.0
laboratory test
LAB3026361
test conducted on a patient and its value
3.690
Table 1: Event sequence value explanation
The data provided in mortality events.csv contains the patient ids of only the deceased people. They are in the form of a tuple with the format (patient id, timestamp, label). For example,
37,3265-12-31,1
40,3202-11-11,1
The timestamp indicates the death date of a deceased person and a label of 1 indicates death. Patients that are not mentioned in this file are considered alive.
The event feature map.csv is a map from an event id (SNOMED, LOINC and RxNorm) to an integer index. This file contains (int id, event id) pairs for all event ids.
Python and dependencies
In this homework, we will work on Python 2.7 environment. If you do not have a python distribution installed yet, we recommend installing Anaconda (or miniconda) with Python 2.7. We provide homework1/environment.yml which contains a list of libraries needed to set environment for this homework. You can use it to create a copy of conda ‘environment’ (http://conda.pydata.org/docs/using/envs.html#use-environment-from-file). If you already have your own Python development environment (it should be Python 2.7), please refer to this file to find necessary libraries.
Running the tests
Test cases are provided for every module in this assignment and operate on a subset of the data. To run a test, execute the following commands from the base folder i.e. homework1. If any of the test cases fail, an error will be shown. For example to test the statistics computed, the following command should be executed:
nosetests tests/test statistics.py
A single test can also be run using this syntax: nosetests tests/< filename :< test method
2 Descriptive Statistics [10 points]
Before starting analytic modeling, it is a good practice to get descriptive statistics of the input raw data. In this section, you need to write code that computes various metrics on the data described previously. A skeleton code is provided to you as a starting point.
The definition of terms used in the result table are described below:
• Event count: Number of events recorded for a given patient. Note that every line in the input file is an event.
• Encounter count: Count of unique dates on which a given patient visited the ICU. All the events - DIAG, LAB and DRUG - should be considered as ICU visiting events.
• Record length: Duration (in number of days) between the first event and last event for a given patient.
For example, if the first event is on 2014-05-21 and the last event is on 2014-05-24, the duration is 3 days. If a patient has only one event, the duration is 0.
a. Complete src/event statistics.py to implement the required statistics.
Please be aware that you are NOT allowed to change the filename and any existing function declarations. Only numpy, scipy, scikit-learn and other built-in modules of python will be available for you to use. The use of pandas library is suggested.
b.Use events.csv and mortality events.csv provided in data/train as input and fill Table 2 with actual values. Include this table in homework1 answer.pdf
Deliverable: src/event statistics.py, homework1 answer.pdf [10 points]
3 Feature construction [30 points]
It is a common practice to convert raw data into a standard data format before running real machine learning models. In this section, you will work on src/etl.py file and implement the necessary python functions in this script. You will work with events.csv, mortality events.csv and event feature map.csv files provided in data/train folder. The use of pandas library in this question is recommended. Listed below are a few concepts you need to know before beginning feature construction (for details please refer to lectures).
Metric
Deceased patients
Alive patients
Function to complete
Event Count
1. Average Event Count
2. Max Event Count
3. Min Event Count
event count metrics
Encounter Count
1. Average Encounter Count
2. Max Encounter Count
3. Min Encounter Count
encounter count metrics
Record Length
1. Average Record Length
2. Max Record Length
3. Min Record Length
record length metrics
Table 2: Descriptive statistics for alive and dead patients
•
Observation Window: The time interval you will use to identify relevant events. Only events present in this window should be included while constructing feature vectors.
The size of observation window is 2000 days.
• Prediction Window: A fixed time interval that is to be used to make the prediction. Events in this interval should not be included in constructing feature vectors. The size of prediction window is 30 days.
• Index date: The day on which mortality is to be predicted. Index date is evaluated as follows:
– For deceased patients: Index date is 30 days prior to the death date (timestamp field) in data/train/mortality events.csv.
– For alive patients: Index date is the last event date in data/train/events.csv for each alive patient.
Step - a. Compute the index date [8 points]
Use the definition provided above to compute the index date for all patients. Complete the method calculate index date provided in src/etl.py .
Deliverable: src/etl.py, deliverables/etl index dates.csv
Step - b. Filter events [5 points]
Consider an observation window (2000 days) and prediction window (30 days). Remove the events that occur outside the observation window. Complete the method filter events provided in src/etl.py .
Deliverable: src/etl.py, deliverables/etl filtered events.csv
c. Aggregate events [10 points]
To create features suitable for machine learning, we will need to aggregate the events for each patient as follows:
• sum values for diagnostics and medication events (i.e. event id starting with DIAG and DRUG).
• count occurences for lab events (i.e. event id starting with LAB).
Each event type will become a feature and we will directly use event id as feature name.
For example, given below raw event sequence for a patient,
1053,DIAG319049,Acute respiratory failure,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DIAG197320,Acute renal failure syndrome,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DRUG19122121,Insulin,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DRUG19122121,Insulin,2924-10-11,1.0
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-08,3.000
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-08,3.690
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-09,3.240
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-10,3.470
We can get feature value pairs(event id, value) for this patient with ID 1053 as
(DIAG319049, 1.0)
(DIAG197320, 1.0)
(DRUG19122121, 2.0)
(LAB3026361, 4)
You will notice there are certain events with no entries in the values column. Handle these missing values by removing all events with null values while constructing the features. Next, replace each event id with the feature id provided in
Further, in machine learning algorithm like logistic regression, it is important to normalize different features into the same scale using an approach like min-max normalization (hint: min(xi) maps to 0 and max(xi) 1 for feature xi). Complete the method aggregate events provided in src/etl.py .
Deliverable: src/etl.py and deliverables/etl aggregated events.csv
d. Save in SVMLight format [7 points]
If the dimensionality of a feature vector is large but the feature vector is sparse (i.e. it has only a few nonzero elements), sparse representation should be employed. In this problem you will use the provided data for each patient to construct a feature vector and represent the feature vector in SVMLight format.
<line .=. <target <feature:<value <feature:<value
<target .=. +1 | -1 | 0 | <float
<feature .=. <integer | qid
<value .=. <float
<info .=. <string
#<info
For example, the feature vector in SVMLight format will look like:
1 2:0.5 3:0.12 10:0.9 2000:0.3
0 4:1.0 78:0.6 1009:0.2
1 33:0.1 34:0.98 1000:0.8 3300:0.2
1 34:0.1 389:0.32
where, 1 or 0 will indicate whether the patient is alive or dead i.e. the label and it will
be followed by a series of feature-value pairs sorted by the feature index (idx) value.
Deliverable: src/etl.py, deliverables/featured svmlight.train and deliverables/features.train
4 Predictive Modeling [45 points]
4.1 Model Creation [15 points]
In the previous section, you constructed feature vectors for patients to be used as training data in various predictive models (classifiers). Now you will use this training data (deliverables/featured svmlight.train) in 3 predictive models.
a. Implement Logistic Regression, SVM and Decision Tree. Skeleton code is provided in
src/models partb.py, src/models partc.py.
b. Report all the performance metrics on the training data (deliverables/featured svmlight.train). Skeleton code is provided in src/models partb.py. You will evaluate and report the performance of your predictive models based on the metrics listed in Table 3. Include this table in homework1 answer.pdf
Model
Accuracy
AUC
Precision
Recall
F-Score
Logistic Regression
SVM
Decision Tree
Table 3: Model performance on training data
c. Evaluate your predictive models on a separate test data that is provided to you in data/features svmlight.validate (binary labels are provided in that svmlight file as the first field). Skeleton code is provided in src/models partc.py. You will evaluate and report the performance of your predictive models based on the metrics listed in Table 4. Include this table in homework1 answer.pdf
Model
Accuracy
AUC
Precision
Recall
F-Score
Logistic Regression
SVM
Decision Tree
Table 4: Model performance on test data
d. Based on the performance metrics on training and test data, please propose some strategies to improve the test performance and also provide the justification for your recommendation. For example, the strategies can be “gather more training data” or “do parameter tuning more on the algorithms”.
Deliverable: src/models partb.py, src/models partc.py, homework1 answer.pdf
[15 points]
4.2 Model Validation [10 points]
In order to fully utilize the available data and obtain more reliable results, machine learning practitioners use cross-validation to evaluate and improve their predictive models. In this section, you will demonstrate using two cross-validation strategies against Logistic Regression.
• K-Fold: Divide all the data into k groups of samples. Each time samples will be used as test data and the remaining samples as training data.
• Randomized (Shuffle Split): Iteratively random shuffle the whole dataset and use top specific percentage of data as training and the rest as test.
a. Implement the two strategies in src/cross.py. Use k=5 for K-Fold. Use a test data
percentage of 0.2 and 5 for the number of iterations for Randomized.
b. Report the average Accuracy and AUC in Table 5. Include this table in homework1 answer.pdf
CV strategy
Accuracy
AUC
K-Fold
Randomized
Table 5: Cross Validation
NOTE: You will use the features that you constructed in Section 3 as the entire dataset for this problem.
Deliverable: src/cross.py, homework1 answer.pdf [10 points]
4.3 Self Model Creation [15 points]
In this part, you will choose your own predictive model and set of features to attempt to obtain better performance compared to what you just worked on. You are advised to try out different things to improve the performance of your predictive model. One may try out new features, or use feature selection techniques to reduce the feature set, or tune the parameters of the predictive model or try ensemble techniques. However, one must not change the observation window and prediction window.
You should use the data available in data/train to construct features and train your predictive model. It is advisable to use cross validation and AUC as the metric to determine the relative performance of your model. Your final model will be evaluated on a (blind) test set for which the labels are unknown to you. The events in the observation window corresponding to the test patients are available in data/test/events.csv. If you are using the same features as in Section 3 for the test set, you may use the feature map in data/test/event feature map.csv.
a. Implement your predictive model in src/my model.py. You are free to use your own features and predictive model. Please ensure that your predicted labels are either 0 or 1. Report your features of the test patients in deliverables/test features.txt. Submit your predictions in the form of a csv file (patient id, predicted label) in deliverables/my predictions.csv
b. Write a short paragraph on your best predictive model (based on cross validation and AUC) and the other models that you tried. What was the rationale behind your approach? Did your model perform better than in the previous section? Include this in homework1 answer.pdf
Deliverable 1: deliverables/test features.txt
(Refer to the skeleton code for the required format)
Deliverable 2: src/my model.py
Deliverable 3: deliverables/my predictions.csv
4.4 Kaggle [5 + up to 5 bonus points]
Kaggle is a platform for predictive modelling and analytics competitions. Submit your deliverables/my predictions.csv to a kaggle competition created specifically for this assignment to compete with your fellow classmates. A gatech.edu email address is required to participate; follow the sign up directions using your university email address or if you already have an account, change the email on your existing account via your profile settings so you can participate. Make sure your display name (not necessarily your username) matches either your actual full name or your GT account username so your kaggle submission can be linked back to T-Square.
Evaluation criteria is AUC. The predicted label is a soft label, which represents the possibility of mortality for each patient you predict. The label range is between 0 and 1. 50% of the data is used for the public leaderboard where you can receive feedback on your model. The final private leaderboard will use the remaining 50% of the data and will determine your final class ranking. More specific details can be found on the kaggle competition website.
Score at least 0.6 AUC to receive 5 points of credit. Additional bonus points can be received for your performance according to the following:
• Top 10%: 5 bonus points
• Top 15%: 4 bonus points
• Top 20%: 3 bonus points
• Top 25%: 2 bonus points
• Top 30%: 1 bonus point
Percentages are based on the entire class size, not just those who submit to kaggle.
5 Submission [5 points]
The folder structure of your submission should be as below. You can use the tree command to dispay and verify the folder structure is as seen below. All modified src code should be in src folder. You should not change the given function names in source code. All other unrelated files will be discarded during testing and you will get ZERO score for Submission part.
<your gtid-<your gt account-hw1
|-- homework1_answer.pdf
|-- src
|-- event_statistics.py
|-- etl.py
|-- models_partb.py
|-- models_partc.py
|-- cross.py
|-- utils.py
\-- my_model.py |-- deliverables
|-- etl_index_dates.csv
|-- etl_filtered_events.csv
|-- etl_aggregated_events.csv
|-- features_svmlight.train
|-- features.train
|-- test_features.txt
\-- my_predictions.csv
Create a tar archive of the folder above with the following command and submit the tar file.
tar -czvf <your gtid-<your gt account-hw1.tar.gz \
<your gtid-<your gt account-hw1
Example submission: 901234567-gburdell3-hw1.tar.
It is your responsibility to make sure that all code and other deliverables are in the correct format and that your submission compiles and runs. We will not manually check your code.
Thus non-runnable code will directly lead to 0 score.
1 CITI Certification [10 points]
Georgia Tech policy requires that all personnel involved with human subjects research must pass a training course before doing so. This requirement encompasses all types of interactions with human subjects, including the analysis of data.
Follow the steps below to complete the CITI certification and attach your two certifications.
1. Go to https://www.citiprogram.org/
2. Login via Single Sign On (SSO), which will allow to login using your Georgia Tech username and password
3. Select Georgia Institute of Technology as the authentication provider
4. Once logged in, under Georgia Institute of Technology courses, click on “Add Course or Update Learner Groups”
5. Now you will have three main courses to select. You will check the box for “Human
Subjects Research”
6. Click next, then you will select the radio button “NO, I have NOT completed the basic course”
7. Now, you will see three learner groups. You are required to complete Group 1 and Group 2. Let us start with Group 1 (select Group 1) and click next
8. Good Clinical Practice is not required so select “N/A”, then click next
9. Health Information Privacy and Security (HIPS) is required, click ”CITI Health Information Privacy and Security (HIPS) for Biomedical Research Investigators”
10. Now under Georgia Tech courses you will have “Group 1 Biomedical research Investigators and Key Personnel” listed as incomplete. You will have to go through every tutorial in that course and complete a quiz for each.
11. Once you have completed and passed Group 1, repeat the steps above to complete Group 2 (Social / Behavioral Research Investigators and Key Personnel)
Solution. Sample certification displayed in Figure 1.
About Raw Data
Navigate to homework1/data/train. There are three CSV files which will be the input data in this assignment.
The data provided in events.csv are event sequences. Each line of this file consists of a tuple with the format (patient id, event id, event description, timestamp, value). For example,
1053,DIAG319049,Acute respiratory failure,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DIAG197320,Acute renal failure syndrome,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DRUG19122121,Insulin,2924-10-08,1.0
COLLABORATIVE INSTITUTIONAL TRAINING INITIATIVE (CITI)
HUMAN RESEARCH CURRICULUM COMPLETION REPORT
Printed on 08/22/2014
LEARNER Hang Su (ID: 4270797)
EMAIL hsu34@gatech.edu
INSTITUTION Georgia Institute of Technology EXPIRATION DATE 08/21/2017
GROUP 1 BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH INVESTIGATORS AND KEY PERSONNEL
COURSE/STAGE: Basic Course/1
PASSED ON: 08/22/2014
REFERENCE ID: 13704349
COLLABORATIVE INSTITUTIONAL TRAINING INITIATIVE (CITI)
HUMAN RESEARCH CURRICULUM COMPLETION REPORT
Printed on 08/22/2014
Hang Su (ID: 4270797) hsu34@gatech.edu
LEARNER
INSTITUTION Georgia Institute of Technology EXPIRATION DATE 08/21/2017
GROUP 2 SOCIAL / BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH INVESTIGATORS AND KEY PERSONNEL
COURSE/STAGE: Basic Course/1
PASSED ON: 08/22/2014
REFERENCE ID: 13766823
(a) Group 1 (b) Group 2
Figure 1: Sample CITI Certification
1053,DRUG19122121,Insulin,2924-10-11,1.0
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-08,3.000
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-08,3.690
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-09,3.240
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-10,3.470
• patient id: Identifies the patients in order to differentiate them from others. For example, the patient in the example above has patient id 1053.
• event id: Encodes all the clinical events that a patient has had. For example, DRUG19122121 means that a drug with RxNorm code as 19122121 was prescribed to the patient. DIAG319049 means the patient was diagnosed of disease with SNOMED code of 319049 and LAB3026361 means that the laboratory test with a LOINC code of 3026361 was performed on the patient.
• event description: Shows the description of the event. For example, DIAG319049 is the code for Acute respiratory failure and DRUG19122121 is the code for Insulin.
• timestamp: Indicates the date at which the event happened. Here the timestamp is not a real date but a shifted date for protecting privacy of patients.
• value: Contains the value associated to an event. See Table 1 for the detailed description.
event type
sample event id
value meaning
example
diagnostic code
DIAG319049
diagnosed with a certain disease, value always be 1.0
1.0
drug consumption
DRUG19122121
prescribed a certain medication, value will always be 1.0
1.0
laboratory test
LAB3026361
test conducted on a patient and its value
3.690
Table 1: Event sequence value explanation
The data provided in mortality events.csv contains the patient ids of only the deceased people. They are in the form of a tuple with the format (patient id, timestamp, label). For example,
37,3265-12-31,1
40,3202-11-11,1
The timestamp indicates the death date of a deceased person and a label of 1 indicates death. Patients that are not mentioned in this file are considered alive.
The event feature map.csv is a map from an event id (SNOMED, LOINC and RxNorm) to an integer index. This file contains (int id, event id) pairs for all event ids.
Python and dependencies
In this homework, we will work on Python 2.7 environment. If you do not have a python distribution installed yet, we recommend installing Anaconda (or miniconda) with Python 2.7. We provide homework1/environment.yml which contains a list of libraries needed to set environment for this homework. You can use it to create a copy of conda ‘environment’ (http://conda.pydata.org/docs/using/envs.html#use-environment-from-file). If you already have your own Python development environment (it should be Python 2.7), please refer to this file to find necessary libraries.
Running the tests
Test cases are provided for every module in this assignment and operate on a subset of the data. To run a test, execute the following commands from the base folder i.e. homework1. If any of the test cases fail, an error will be shown. For example to test the statistics computed, the following command should be executed:
nosetests tests/test statistics.py
A single test can also be run using this syntax: nosetests tests/< filename :< test method
2 Descriptive Statistics [10 points]
Before starting analytic modeling, it is a good practice to get descriptive statistics of the input raw data. In this section, you need to write code that computes various metrics on the data described previously. A skeleton code is provided to you as a starting point.
The definition of terms used in the result table are described below:
• Event count: Number of events recorded for a given patient. Note that every line in the input file is an event.
• Encounter count: Count of unique dates on which a given patient visited the ICU. All the events - DIAG, LAB and DRUG - should be considered as ICU visiting events.
• Record length: Duration (in number of days) between the first event and last event for a given patient.
For example, if the first event is on 2014-05-21 and the last event is on 2014-05-24, the duration is 3 days. If a patient has only one event, the duration is 0.
a. Complete src/event statistics.py to implement the required statistics.
Please be aware that you are NOT allowed to change the filename and any existing function declarations. Only numpy, scipy, scikit-learn and other built-in modules of python will be available for you to use. The use of pandas library is suggested.
b.Use events.csv and mortality events.csv provided in data/train as input and fill Table 2 with actual values. Include this table in homework1 answer.pdf
Deliverable: src/event statistics.py, homework1 answer.pdf [10 points]
3 Feature construction [30 points]
It is a common practice to convert raw data into a standard data format before running real machine learning models. In this section, you will work on src/etl.py file and implement the necessary python functions in this script. You will work with events.csv, mortality events.csv and event feature map.csv files provided in data/train folder. The use of pandas library in this question is recommended. Listed below are a few concepts you need to know before beginning feature construction (for details please refer to lectures).
Metric
Deceased patients
Alive patients
Function to complete
Event Count
1. Average Event Count
2. Max Event Count
3. Min Event Count
event count metrics
Encounter Count
1. Average Encounter Count
2. Max Encounter Count
3. Min Encounter Count
encounter count metrics
Record Length
1. Average Record Length
2. Max Record Length
3. Min Record Length
record length metrics
Table 2: Descriptive statistics for alive and dead patients
•
Observation Window: The time interval you will use to identify relevant events. Only events present in this window should be included while constructing feature vectors.
The size of observation window is 2000 days.
• Prediction Window: A fixed time interval that is to be used to make the prediction. Events in this interval should not be included in constructing feature vectors. The size of prediction window is 30 days.
• Index date: The day on which mortality is to be predicted. Index date is evaluated as follows:
– For deceased patients: Index date is 30 days prior to the death date (timestamp field) in data/train/mortality events.csv.
– For alive patients: Index date is the last event date in data/train/events.csv for each alive patient.
Step - a. Compute the index date [8 points]
Use the definition provided above to compute the index date for all patients. Complete the method calculate index date provided in src/etl.py .
Deliverable: src/etl.py, deliverables/etl index dates.csv
Step - b. Filter events [5 points]
Consider an observation window (2000 days) and prediction window (30 days). Remove the events that occur outside the observation window. Complete the method filter events provided in src/etl.py .
Deliverable: src/etl.py, deliverables/etl filtered events.csv
c. Aggregate events [10 points]
To create features suitable for machine learning, we will need to aggregate the events for each patient as follows:
• sum values for diagnostics and medication events (i.e. event id starting with DIAG and DRUG).
• count occurences for lab events (i.e. event id starting with LAB).
Each event type will become a feature and we will directly use event id as feature name.
For example, given below raw event sequence for a patient,
1053,DIAG319049,Acute respiratory failure,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DIAG197320,Acute renal failure syndrome,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DRUG19122121,Insulin,2924-10-08,1.0
1053,DRUG19122121,Insulin,2924-10-11,1.0
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-08,3.000
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-08,3.690
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-09,3.240
1053,LAB3026361,Erythrocytes in Blood,2924-10-10,3.470
We can get feature value pairs(event id, value) for this patient with ID 1053 as
(DIAG319049, 1.0)
(DIAG197320, 1.0)
(DRUG19122121, 2.0)
(LAB3026361, 4)
You will notice there are certain events with no entries in the values column. Handle these missing values by removing all events with null values while constructing the features. Next, replace each event id with the feature id provided in
Further, in machine learning algorithm like logistic regression, it is important to normalize different features into the same scale using an approach like min-max normalization (hint: min(xi) maps to 0 and max(xi) 1 for feature xi). Complete the method aggregate events provided in src/etl.py .
Deliverable: src/etl.py and deliverables/etl aggregated events.csv
d. Save in SVMLight format [7 points]
If the dimensionality of a feature vector is large but the feature vector is sparse (i.e. it has only a few nonzero elements), sparse representation should be employed. In this problem you will use the provided data for each patient to construct a feature vector and represent the feature vector in SVMLight format.
<line .=. <target <feature:<value <feature:<value
<target .=. +1 | -1 | 0 | <float
<feature .=. <integer | qid
<value .=. <float
<info .=. <string
#<info
For example, the feature vector in SVMLight format will look like:
1 2:0.5 3:0.12 10:0.9 2000:0.3
0 4:1.0 78:0.6 1009:0.2
1 33:0.1 34:0.98 1000:0.8 3300:0.2
1 34:0.1 389:0.32
where, 1 or 0 will indicate whether the patient is alive or dead i.e. the label and it will
be followed by a series of feature-value pairs sorted by the feature index (idx) value.
Deliverable: src/etl.py, deliverables/featured svmlight.train and deliverables/features.train
4 Predictive Modeling [45 points]
4.1 Model Creation [15 points]
In the previous section, you constructed feature vectors for patients to be used as training data in various predictive models (classifiers). Now you will use this training data (deliverables/featured svmlight.train) in 3 predictive models.
a. Implement Logistic Regression, SVM and Decision Tree. Skeleton code is provided in
src/models partb.py, src/models partc.py.
b. Report all the performance metrics on the training data (deliverables/featured svmlight.train). Skeleton code is provided in src/models partb.py. You will evaluate and report the performance of your predictive models based on the metrics listed in Table 3. Include this table in homework1 answer.pdf
Model
Accuracy
AUC
Precision
Recall
F-Score
Logistic Regression
SVM
Decision Tree
Table 3: Model performance on training data
c. Evaluate your predictive models on a separate test data that is provided to you in data/features svmlight.validate (binary labels are provided in that svmlight file as the first field). Skeleton code is provided in src/models partc.py. You will evaluate and report the performance of your predictive models based on the metrics listed in Table 4. Include this table in homework1 answer.pdf
Model
Accuracy
AUC
Precision
Recall
F-Score
Logistic Regression
SVM
Decision Tree
Table 4: Model performance on test data
d. Based on the performance metrics on training and test data, please propose some strategies to improve the test performance and also provide the justification for your recommendation. For example, the strategies can be “gather more training data” or “do parameter tuning more on the algorithms”.
Deliverable: src/models partb.py, src/models partc.py, homework1 answer.pdf
[15 points]
4.2 Model Validation [10 points]
In order to fully utilize the available data and obtain more reliable results, machine learning practitioners use cross-validation to evaluate and improve their predictive models. In this section, you will demonstrate using two cross-validation strategies against Logistic Regression.
• K-Fold: Divide all the data into k groups of samples. Each time samples will be used as test data and the remaining samples as training data.
• Randomized (Shuffle Split): Iteratively random shuffle the whole dataset and use top specific percentage of data as training and the rest as test.
a. Implement the two strategies in src/cross.py. Use k=5 for K-Fold. Use a test data
percentage of 0.2 and 5 for the number of iterations for Randomized.
b. Report the average Accuracy and AUC in Table 5. Include this table in homework1 answer.pdf
CV strategy
Accuracy
AUC
K-Fold
Randomized
Table 5: Cross Validation
NOTE: You will use the features that you constructed in Section 3 as the entire dataset for this problem.
Deliverable: src/cross.py, homework1 answer.pdf [10 points]
4.3 Self Model Creation [15 points]
In this part, you will choose your own predictive model and set of features to attempt to obtain better performance compared to what you just worked on. You are advised to try out different things to improve the performance of your predictive model. One may try out new features, or use feature selection techniques to reduce the feature set, or tune the parameters of the predictive model or try ensemble techniques. However, one must not change the observation window and prediction window.
You should use the data available in data/train to construct features and train your predictive model. It is advisable to use cross validation and AUC as the metric to determine the relative performance of your model. Your final model will be evaluated on a (blind) test set for which the labels are unknown to you. The events in the observation window corresponding to the test patients are available in data/test/events.csv. If you are using the same features as in Section 3 for the test set, you may use the feature map in data/test/event feature map.csv.
a. Implement your predictive model in src/my model.py. You are free to use your own features and predictive model. Please ensure that your predicted labels are either 0 or 1. Report your features of the test patients in deliverables/test features.txt. Submit your predictions in the form of a csv file (patient id, predicted label) in deliverables/my predictions.csv
b. Write a short paragraph on your best predictive model (based on cross validation and AUC) and the other models that you tried. What was the rationale behind your approach? Did your model perform better than in the previous section? Include this in homework1 answer.pdf
Deliverable 1: deliverables/test features.txt
(Refer to the skeleton code for the required format)
Deliverable 2: src/my model.py
Deliverable 3: deliverables/my predictions.csv
4.4 Kaggle [5 + up to 5 bonus points]
Kaggle is a platform for predictive modelling and analytics competitions. Submit your deliverables/my predictions.csv to a kaggle competition created specifically for this assignment to compete with your fellow classmates. A gatech.edu email address is required to participate; follow the sign up directions using your university email address or if you already have an account, change the email on your existing account via your profile settings so you can participate. Make sure your display name (not necessarily your username) matches either your actual full name or your GT account username so your kaggle submission can be linked back to T-Square.
Evaluation criteria is AUC. The predicted label is a soft label, which represents the possibility of mortality for each patient you predict. The label range is between 0 and 1. 50% of the data is used for the public leaderboard where you can receive feedback on your model. The final private leaderboard will use the remaining 50% of the data and will determine your final class ranking. More specific details can be found on the kaggle competition website.
Score at least 0.6 AUC to receive 5 points of credit. Additional bonus points can be received for your performance according to the following:
• Top 10%: 5 bonus points
• Top 15%: 4 bonus points
• Top 20%: 3 bonus points
• Top 25%: 2 bonus points
• Top 30%: 1 bonus point
Percentages are based on the entire class size, not just those who submit to kaggle.
5 Submission [5 points]
The folder structure of your submission should be as below. You can use the tree command to dispay and verify the folder structure is as seen below. All modified src code should be in src folder. You should not change the given function names in source code. All other unrelated files will be discarded during testing and you will get ZERO score for Submission part.
<your gtid-<your gt account-hw1
|-- homework1_answer.pdf
|-- src
|-- event_statistics.py
|-- etl.py
|-- models_partb.py
|-- models_partc.py
|-- cross.py
|-- utils.py
\-- my_model.py |-- deliverables
|-- etl_index_dates.csv
|-- etl_filtered_events.csv
|-- etl_aggregated_events.csv
|-- features_svmlight.train
|-- features.train
|-- test_features.txt
\-- my_predictions.csv
Create a tar archive of the folder above with the following command and submit the tar file.
tar -czvf <your gtid-<your gt account-hw1.tar.gz \
<your gtid-<your gt account-hw1
Example submission: 901234567-gburdell3-hw1.tar.
1 file (2.3MB)
