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The standard and basic SIR model is used to model the population dynamics of some infection as COVID-19. It considers a population of N individuals, consisting in three compartments:
• S is the amount of Safe individuals, not yet infected and Susceptible to become infected. Their population will decrease if the Safe patients have the opportunity to encounter Infected patients. This sub-population does not include patients which were infected but have Recovered from the infection.
• I represents the amount of Infected patients. Their population will increase when some ”S” individuals get infected, and it decreases when Infected people Recover from the disease.
• R is the amount of population which was infected, but has Recovered from the infection and is healthy again.
Note that by definition N = S + I + R.
The dynamics is thus described by the differential equations
(1)
(2)
(3)
The amount of newly infected patient is proportional to both S and I. The parameter β is a virulence factor which depends on drugs (if any), on vaccine and eventually on political regulations on the mobility of the population. Thus, β is considered to be the control input. γ is the inverse of the constant duration of the disease for an individual.
QUESTION 1: Among the three variables S, I and R how many are independent, or transcendent with respect to the field of real numbers ?
QUESTION 2: Check whether or not the two outputs Y1 an Y2 are differentially algebraically dependent or transcendent with respect to the field of real numbers. I.e., does there exist a (possibly nonlinear) differential equation F(Y1,Y2,Y˙1,Y˙2,...) = 0 which does not involve the control input β ?
Recall that N and γ are constant real numbers and my be involve in such a differential equation