CENG222 -hw3 -Solved

Statistical Methods for Computer Engineering
 

Introduction
In this assignment, there are 3 questions related to the 9th chapter of your text book. While answering the questions, please show your work and the steps of your calculations. Give an explanation about what numbers mean in those steps. In your calculations please use at most three decimal points. For brief explanations, two or three sentences is enough.

Questions
Q1. (50 pts.)

A company wants to evaluate their customer service’s success and increase their salaries if they are successful. For this purpose they call their customers, and ask them to grade the customer service with a value from 1 to 10. The company would call the customer service successful if they get an average grade that is significantly higher than 7 from the customers.

17 customer replied the calls and the mean is 7.8. The standard deviation of any customer’s response is 1.4. Assume the population is normally distributed where the standard deviation of any customer’s response is 1.4 and each customer answered the question independently.

a)                   With 95% confidence, can the customer service be regarded as successful? Please state null and alternate hypotheses (H0 and HA). (20 pts)

b)                  What if one customer who gave 10 mistakenly gives 1? Can the customer service still be regarded as successful with 95% confidence? (10 pts)

c)                   For part b, what if there were 45 customers in the survey? Does the mistake still affect the customer service’s success with 95% confidence? Briefly explain the results. (15 pts)

d)                  What if the threshold for success is set to 8 for 95% confidence. Briefly explain why we don’t need to make any calculations to evaluate success in this case. (5 pts)

NOTE: For simplicity, assume that the standard deviation does not change in parts b and c.

1

Q2. (20 pts.)

A new COVID-19 vaccine is developed and the developer company claims that the vaccine’s protection lasts longer than their competitors. In an experiment with 55 subjects, the company showed that their vaccine protects for 6.2 months with a standard deviation of 1.5 months. Note that, when tested on an independent set of 55 patients, the old vaccine developed by their competitors protect for 5.8 months with a standard deviation of 1.1 months. With 5% level of significance, can we state that the new vaccine really protects for a longer duration? (Please state H0 and HA)

Q3. (30 pts.)

A survey is done by a news agency for presidential elections. The agency reported that the Reds are leading Blues by 11%, because 48% of the participants supported Red Party’s candidate while 37% supported Blue Party’s candidate. Note that 400 people participated in the survey and the population size is significantly larger than 400.

a)     What margin of error should be reported for each candidate’s estimated vote rate? (10 pts)

b)     What margin of error should be reported for the estimated lead? (5 pts)

c)     Which candidate’s margin of error is larger than the other? Explain the reason. (10 pts)

d)     How would margin of errors change if there were 1800 participants in the survey? Briefly explain. (5 pts) NOTE: Use 95% confidence interval for calculating margin of errors.